Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference

Name: Logical Foundations of Statistical Inference
Brand: Springer
SKU: 9789027704306
Price: 828.06 RON
Availability: InStock

Autor: Henry E. Kyburg Jr.

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Editura: Springer

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Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statisti...

Informații despre carte

Autor

Henry E. Kyburg Jr.

Limbă

engleză

Legare

Carte - Carte broșată

Publicat

2007

Pagini

433

EAN

9789027704306

ISBN

9027704309

Enbook ID

01970181

Editura

Springer

Greutate

1370

Dimensiuni

155 x 235 x 23

Descriere completă

Everyone knows it is easy to lie with statistics. It is important then to be able to tell a statistical lie from a valid statistical inference. It is a relatively widely accepted commonplace that our scientific knowledge is not certain and incorrigible, but merely probable, subject to refinement, modifi cation, and even overthrow. The rankest beginner at a gambling table understands that his decisions must be based on mathematical ex pectations - that is, on utilities weighted by probabilities. It is widely held that the same principles apply almost all the time in the game of life. If we turn to philosophers, or to mathematical statisticians, or to probability theorists for criteria of validity in statistical inference, for the general principles that distinguish well grounded from ill grounded generalizations and laws, or for the interpretation of that probability we must, like the gambler, take as our guide in life, we find disagreement, confusion, and frustration. We might be prepared to find disagreements on a philosophical and theoretical level (although we do not find them in the case of deductive logic) but we do not expect, and we may be surprised to find, that these theoretical disagreements lead to differences in the conclusions that are regarded as 'acceptable' in the practice of science and public affairs, and in the conduct of business.

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