Carte Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Bayesian Decision Theory Marcel van Oijen

Probabilistic Risk Analysis and Bayesian Decision Theory

With Applications in the Environmental Sciences

Limbă: engleză
Legare: Carte broșată
Editura: Springer, Berlin
Disponibilitate: Nou în așteptare
Ediția 11. 02. 2027
465.18 lei
The book shows how risk, defined as the statistical expectation of loss, can be formally decomposed...

Informații despre carte

Limbă
engleză
Legare
Carte - Carte broșată
Publicat
2027
EAN
9783032145635
Enbook ID
50043291
Dimensiuni
155 x 235

Descriere completă

The book shows how risk, defined as the statistical expectation of loss, can be formally decomposed as the product of two terms: hazard probability and system vulnerability. This requires a specific definition of vulnerability that replaces the many fuzzy definitions abounding in the literature. The approach is expanded to more complex risk analysis with three components rather than two, and with various definitions of hazard. Equations are derived to quantify the uncertainty of each risk component and show how the approach relates to Bayesian decision theory. Intended for statisticians, environmental scientists and risk analysts interested in the theory and application of risk analysis, this book provides precise definitions, new theory, and many examples with full computer code. The approach is based on straightforward use of probability theory which brings rigour and clarity. Only a moderate knowledge and understanding of probability theory is expected from the reader.

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