Carte Inside a Modern Macroeconometric Model Alan A. Powell

Inside a Modern Macroeconometric Model

A Guide to the Murphy Model

Limbă: engleză
Legare: Carte broșată
Disponibilitate: În depozitul extern
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As Ken Wallis (1993) has pOinted out, all macroeconomic forecasters and policy analysts use economic...

Informații despre carte

Limbă
engleză
Legare
Carte - Carte broșată
Publicat
2012
Pagini
455
EAN
9783642638367
ISBN
3642638368
Enbook ID
07048698
Greutate
724
Dimensiuni
155 x 235 x 26

Descriere completă

As Ken Wallis (1993) has pOinted out, all macroeconomic forecasters and policy analysts use economic models. That is, they have a way of going from assumptions about macroeconomic policy and the international environment, to a prediction of the likely future state of the economy. Some people do this in their heads. Increasingly though, forecasting and policy analysis is based on a formal, explicit model, represented by a set of mathematical equations and solved by computer. This provides a framework for handling, in a consistent and systematic manner, the ever-increasing amounts of relevant information. Macroeconometric modelling though, is an inexact science. A manageable model must focus only on the major driving forces in a complex economy made up of millions of households and fIrms. International economic agencies such as the IMF and OECD, and most treasuries and central banks in western countries, use macroeconometric models in their forecasting and policy analysis. Models are also used for teaching and research in universities, as well as for commercial forecasting in the private sector.

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