Acting under Uncertainty

Name: Acting under Uncertainty
Brand: Springer
SKU: 9789048157853
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Multidisciplinary Conceptions

Autor: George M. Von Furstenberg

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Editura: Springer

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Uncertainty could be associated with wisdom, enterprise, and discovery. In ordinary speech, however,...

Informații despre carte

Autor

George M. Von Furstenberg

Limbă

engleză

Legare

Carte - Carte broșată

Publicat

2010

Pagini

486

EAN

9789048157853

ISBN

9048157854

Enbook ID

01974311

Editura

Springer

Greutate

765

Dimensiuni

155 x 235 x 28

Descriere completă

Uncertainty could be associated with wisdom, enterprise, and discovery. In ordinary speech, however, it has mostly negative connotations. There is "fear of the unknown" and "ignorance is bliss;" there are maxims to the effect that "what you don't know doesn't hurt you" (or: "bother you") in several languages. This volume suggests that we need be bothered by the excessive confidence with which scientists, particularly social scientists, present some of their conclusions and overstate their range of application. Otherwise many of the questions that should be raised about all the major uncertainties attending a particular issue routinely may continue to be thwarted or suppressed. Down playing uncertainty does not lead to more responsible or surer action, it sidetracks research agendas, and leaves the decision makers exposed to nasty surprise. This volume demonstrates that recognizing the many forms of uncertainty that enter into the development of any particular subject matter is a precondition for more responsible choice and deeper knowledge. Our purpose is to contribute to a broader appreciation of uncertainty than regularly accorded in any of the numerous disciplines represented here. The seventeenth-century French philosopher Descartes, quoted in this volume, wrote that "whoever is searching after truth must, once in his life, doubt all things; insofar as this is possible. " White areas left on maps of the world in past centuries were a much more productive challenge than marking the end of the known world with the pillars of Hercules.

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Acting under Uncertainty

Multidisciplinary Conceptions

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